Predictux: A Framework for Predicting Linux Kernel Incremental Release Times

Reliable software systems typically have a version release mechanism that is well organized and documented. This can be drawn upon to predict release timelines, which is helpful in gauging the quality of the software development and maintenance activity. In this paper we present initial results from developing and applying Predictux – a decision-tree-based framework to predict release times of Linux kernel versions. We compare predictions from the framework with actual data and discuss our future plans for refining Predictux further.